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05/08/2021

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cv. Dowie

NO MEED TO PANIC TP, Nadal will be fine on His STAMPING GROUND.

Am up for a bet. Any takers?

Gary  Lee  Moser

My favorite SportsBook has Rafa as a mere -450 choice in his opening match at the Rome Masters,
even though his opponent is only the 19-year-old Jannik Sinner...

Gary  Lee  Moser

"At Madrid - which he has won five times"
----------------------------------------
...and lost NINE other times before this year's edition...

Gary  Lee  Moser

Djokovic just finished off Sonego in his Semi-Final match to join Nadal in the Final in Rome.

An excellent opportunity for us to gauge where Rafa is really at vis-a-vis winning another FO:

Their H2H on all surfaces stands at 29-27 in favor of Novak, so Rafa has the motivation to close the gap to 1.

Their Time-On-Court going into the Rome Final is virtually equal --- 9:10:03 for Rafa, 8:59:08 for Novak.

But...

In the MOST RECENT TWO of their four matches to get to the Final,
Rafa's TOC is only 3:32:23 compared to Novak's 6:00:22 --- a difference of almost TWO-AND-A-HALF hours
over the last 2 days.

My conclusion: if Rafa doesn't win tomorrow being that much more rested, he is definitely on the decline.

Gary  Lee  Moser

Based on the foregoing, picked up a couple of bucks.
[ But not without having to white-knuckle Rafa's 1-6 wobble in the 2nd set ----- ????? ]

Speaking of gaming propositions:

To win Geneva...Caspar Ruud at +240 to Roger's +450.
[ Again, ????? ]

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